EP 37 | THE PROBLEM WITH LIQUIDITY

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ANDREW LANOIE

On this episode of The Impatient Investor, Andrew talks about the problem with liquidity. Andrew argues that the ability to weather the ups and downs of a broader market is essential to cultivating the fruits of one’s investment endeavors. This is made possible in large degree to illiquidity.

“For higher returns that allow for true wealth creation through passive income, investors should seek out illiquid investments and investments not subject to the wall street volatility.”

Full Transcription:

In the last long-standing debate between stocks and real estate, a major point of contention has been liquidity. Generally speaking, stocks are liquid, real estate is not. Those on the side of stocks will argue that liquidity enables an investor to be nimble allowing for flexibility, to adjust, to changes and risks, as well as allowing for capital preservation.

Stock proponents contend, liquidity hedges risk. Those on the side of real estate will argue that to build true wealth, investors must be willing to take the long view. With illiquid investments, investors are better off in the long run. Because illiquidity prevents investors from making rash decisions that will preclude them from reaping the benefits of their investments before it’s time.

We can make the argument that liquidity is a double-edged sword. True. It allows for capital preservation and reduces risk, but it also encourages rash decision-making when riding out a storm is often a better plan of action than cashing out.

The liquidity problem with stocks manifests itself in the form of volatility. The stock market can and has been susceptible to mob behavior to the detriment of the market as a whole, and in the internet age, where information travels at the speed of light, this mob mentality can exuberate volatility at levels unseen in history.

In his seminal book, extraordinary popular delusions, and the madness of crowds written in 1841, Englishman Charles Mackay discussed the pitfalls of mob mentality in both social and economic contexts. In his own words, the basic premise of his book is men, it has been well said, think in herds, it will be seen that they go mad in herds while they only recover their senses slowly and one by one. In other words, people when thinking in herds do so only to their general detriment. On the flip side, they never act as a herd to their benefit. And that’s why it only takes a day for a financial disaster to strike, but years to recover.

The mob mentality is the problem with liquidity. It allows investors to move markets often in unison to the detriment of all. Every major stock collapse in history has demonstrated this hallmark of mass sell-offs where preserving would have been the better alternative. In the liquidity debate, those on the side of real estate will argue and justifiably so that real estate’s illiquidity is what allows it to provide higher returns to the investors than stocks in the long run.

In a 2011 research study, Roger Ibbotson chairman and chief investment officer of zebra, capital management, linked liquidity risk and returns. Specifically, he found that extra returns come from less liquidity and higher risk. This explains why higher return assets such as private equity and real estate are typically less liquid. Savvy investors who take the long view with most of their investments have long known that illiquid assets such as real estate provide higher returns.

Why do successful investors prefer illiquid investments, such as real estate and indirectly real estate private equity and real estate syndications? The short answer is that long-term, illiquid investments provide passive income opportunities essential for building wealth. Passive income when reinvested builds upon itself, generating wealth that liquid assets cannot. The key to growing wealth as practiced by some of the savviest investors in history is the cashflow elements. Only from illiquid investments, such as real estate and even running a business that provides consistent cash flow can wealth be grown by reinvesting that cashflow to effectuate a compounding effect.

One of the key benefits of a liquid investments is that it protects from mob rule. In a real estate fund where investors are expected to commit their funds for 5 to 10 years, illiquidity prevents collective madness from liquidating an asset before it has a chance to produce returns. Illiquidity in effect saves investors from themselves and protects savvy investors who are committed to the long-term from being adversely affected by the irrational behavior of novices. Because returns on real estate are generally predictable and reliable. The ability to weather the ups and downs of a broader market is essential to cultivating the fruits of one’s real estate investment endeavors. This is made possible in large degree to illiquidity. For higher returns that allow for true wealth creation through passive income, investors should seek out illiquid investments and investments not subject to the wall street volatility. For more information, go to www.stoptradinghours.com.

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Episode 37